Rogers' Monday MAULING >>> 28-14-1 (67%) MLB Run! WON 4 STRAIGHT!
(MLB) San Diego vs. Arizona,
Money Line: -172.00 Arizona (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Arizona Diamondbacks were 69-93 in 2016, finishing one game better than the 68-94 San Diego Padres.However, the D'backs have opened the 2017 season by winning 12 of 20 games, while the Padres have started by losing 12 of their first 20. The two NL West rivals open a four-game series tonight at Chase Field and with Arizona going 8-2 so far this season at home, the Padres could be in trouble considering that they are just 3-8 to open the season away from Petco Field. Arizona is MLB's highest-scoring team to this point (5.25 RPG) and will face a San Diego staff which owns a 4.53 ERA, ranking 28th of 30 MLB teams. In contrast, Arizona's so-so pitching staff will face a San Diego lineup which ranks 29th in runs scored at 3.15 per game.

The pitching matchup: The Padres will send Jhoulys Chacin (2-2 & 4.70 ERA) to the mound Monday night and the Diamondbacks will counter with Zack Greinke (1-2 & 3.28 ERA). This represents a quick "re-hook," as Chacin pitched eight scoreless innings for the Padres to outduel Greinke this past Wednesday in a 1-0 Padres victory in San Diego.
That was Chicin's finest outing as a Padre, getting the win after allowing only three singles and a walk while striking out five. He has yet to give up a run in 14 2/3 innings at home in 2017, but he has been ripped for 12 ERs over only 8 1/3 innings in a pair of road losses (14.04 ERA & 2.64 WHIP). Chacin is 6-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 career appearances (14 starts / teams are 9-5) versus the Diamondbacks, including a 2-3 mark but a 2.83 ERA in eight starts at Chase Field. Greinke logged his first complete game of the season opposite Chacin, but took the loss despite permitting only a solo HR. The former Cy Young Award winner was coming off his worst effort of the season five days earlier, when he yielded five runs and 10 hits in five frames against the Dodgers. However, Greinke has had few problems with San Diego in his career, going 8-2 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 17 starts (teams are 12-5).

The pick: Love Greinke is the quick turnaround pitching matchup plus remember Arizona is 8-2 at home, outscoring oppopnents 7.40-to-4.50 RPG . The Diamondbacks not only lead all MLB teams in runs per game at home this season but also in batting average (.316) and on-base percentage (.376). In stark contrast, the Padres are 3-8 on the road, getting outscored 5.09-to-3.00 RPG. Make Arizona an 8* play.