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(MLB) Toronto vs. NY Yankees,
Money Line: -169.00 NY Yankees (Home)
Result: Loss
The set-up: The New York Yankees rallied from an eight-run deficit to earn a 14-11 win in 10 innings over the Orioles on Friday and then routed Baltimore 12-4 on Saturday. However after rallying again on Sunday, the Yanks fell 7-4 in 11 innings on Sunday. The 15-8 Yanks are tied with the Orioles for first in the American League East and get set to host the Toronto Blue Jays for a three-game set beginning tonight. The Jays lost the rubber match of their series in Tampa on Sunday and still have yet to win a series tin 2017. After playing in the ALCS each of the last two seasons, Toronto has opened this season 8-17 and sits in last-place in the AL East, EIGHT games back of the co-leaders.

The pitching matchup: Marco Estrada (0-1 & 2.70 ERA) will get the nod for Toronto and Luis Severino (2-1 & 3.00 ERA) takes the mound for New York. Estrada has pitched well in his last three outings, allowing just two ERs over 19 innings (0.95 ERA) but he has not factored in the decision of any of them (Jays did win two of the three). He's 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA in nine career starts against the NYY (team is 6-3) and fared well against them in 2016, going 2-0 with a 3.12 ERA in four starts (Jays won all four!). Severino had a streak of two straight starts of posting double-digit strikeouts come to an end on Wednesday but he still managed to hold the Boston Red Sox scoreless on three hits over seven innings for the win. Severino is looking for his first career win over the Blue Jays and enters with a 0-2 record and a 5.89 ERA in five career games, including four starts (Yanks are 2-2 but his ERA as a starter is 7.05!).

The pick: Estrada was outstanding against the Yanks last season but the 2017 Blue Jays are a mess, scoring 3.56 RPG (28th) while batting .228 (26th). Severino has put his 'ugly' 2016 season behind him and has allowed just 17 hits over 27 innings with a 33-4 KW ratio. He owns an 0.78 WHIP and opponents are batting just .175 against him. He takes the mound for a New York team that is 10-2 in Yankee Stadium, averaging 6,83 RPG. Make the NYY an 8* play.