Rogers' Afternoon ASSAULT >> *HOT* 25-9 L34 MLB! 11-3 L14
(MLB) NY Mets vs. Arizona,
Total: 9.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Mets have lost the first two of this three-game series in Arizona against the Diamondbacks, 7-3 and 5-4. They have now lost six straight, while allowing opponents to average 7.8 runs during the team's slide. In contrast, the Diamondbacks have won five of their last seven and have upped their home record in 2017 to an impressive 17-8. That's quite an improvement for a team which was a woeful 33-48 at home in 2016, while going 69-93 overall, in finishing 22 games back of the division-winning Dodgers in the NL West.

The pitching matchup: Matt Harvey (2-3 & 5.63 ERA) will take the mound for New York up against Arizona's Patrick Corbin (3-4 & 4.17 ERA). New York's pitching staff is a mess right now and Harvey has posted a 10.43 ERA while losing three straight. He returned form a team suspension last Friday at Milwaukee and was reached for five runs on seven hits and five walks in five innings by the Brewers. Good news for the Mets comes in that Harvey is 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA in four career starts against Arizona. Corbin finished April with a 2.29 ERA but has allowed 12 runs in 10 innings this month, although he picked up the win with a six-inning effort against Pittsburgh on Friday. Unlike Harvey, Corbin has struggled against this opponent, going 0-3 with a 6.64 ERA in four career starts against the Mets (D'backs are 1-3).

The pick: Harvey's off three bad starts but note that he opened the 2017 season 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his four starts. He has pitched well vs. Arizona in his career and let's not write off "the Dark Knight" just yet. However, I'll admit it's stupid nickname. As for Corbin, he was a putrid 1-8 with a 5.57 ERA at Chase Field last year but he is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA in five starts at home here in 2017. Make the Under an 8* play.