>>EARLY<< ROGERS' *10* AFTERNOON SUPER TOTAL! (+$27,840 in May!)
(MLB) LA Dodgers vs. St. Louis,
Total: 8.50 | -106.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Cards open a four-game home series with the LA Dodgers, coming off losing eight of 11 while playing NL West teams the Giants, Dodgers and Rockies. The Dodgers took two of three from the Cardinals at home early last week and are coming off a three-game sweep of the Chicago Cubs. In stark contrats to the Cards, the Dodgers have won eight of 11, including four in a row.

The pitching matchup: Rich Hill (1-2, 4.76 ERA) will get the start for LA and Mike Leake (5-2 & 1.91 ERA) for St. Louis. These two squared off last Wednesday in LA, with Hill continuing to battle the blister issues that have plagued him since arriving in Los Angeles last summer. He lasted just four innings, allowing four hits, seven walks and five ERs. He has yet to go more than five innings this season in any of of four starts and owns a poor 1.71 WHIP (12 walks in 17 innings with opponents batting .283 against him). He's now 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in five career starts against the Cards (teams are 2-3). Leake had little trouble with the Dodgers opposite Hill, allowing just one run on four hits over a season-high eight innings to earn the win. In contrast to Hill, he has not walk a batter in either of his last two starts (15 innings) and has surrendered three or fewer ERs in each of his nine outings this season. Wednesday's win improved Leake to 5-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts / teams are 5-5) against Los Angeles.

The pick: Leake has been little more than a journeyman in his career but is sure pitching well in 2017 and I'm starting to believe it just may be "one of those seasons" for him. To go along with his 1.91 ERA, he owns an 0.93 WHIP, 42-10 KW ratio and opponents are batting only .210 against him. The Dodgers are 21-8 at home (averaging more than 5 1/2 runs) but just 10-12 on the road, where they are averaging 4.36 RPG. As for the Cards, they have not played well at home, going only 12-12 while averaging 3.96 RPG. The Under is an 8* play.