The set-up: The Rays ended a nine-game road trip by getting swept in a three-game series at Seattle (outscored 28-7!) and return home with a 4-5 record on the trip (had won four of six to open the trip). Tamp Bay (29-30 and 5 1/2 games out in the AL East) will be home for seven games this week, beginning with this three-game series with the 24-31 White Sox, who limp into Tampa on a five-game losing skid in which they've allowed 43 runs (8.6 per).

The pitching matchup: Jose Quintana (2-7 & 5.60 ERA) takes the mound for Chicago against Tampa's Chris Archer (4-3 & 3.74 ERA). Quintana opened the month of May with three quality starts in his first four outings but was lit up for 15 runs on 18 hits over just seven total innings to lose his last two games of the month. He made the All-Star game last season but with two wins, a 5.60 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP, he won't be joining the July festivities in Miami this season. He gave up three HRs against Boston in his last outing, after allowing a total of three HRs in his previous eight starts. Quintana is 1-3 with a 3.27 ERA in six career starts against the Rays (team is 2-4). Archer suffered through a miserable 2016 season (9-19, 4.02 ERA / 10-23 in starts, minus-$1553, MLB's worst moneyline mark among starters) but broke David Price's franchise record for strikeouts in a month when he fanned 58 in May. He has totaled 95 in 79 1/3 innings overall this season while recording seven quality starts in 12 outings in 2017, Archer is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA in five career starts versus the White Sox (Rays are 4-1).

The pick: Archer hasn't returned to the All-Star form he had in the 2014-15 seasons but he's leaps and bounds better than he was in 2016. The White have lost five in a row overall (allowing 8.60 RPG) plus have gone just 12-20 on the road. Meanwhile, Quintana has fallen off dramatically from his last few seasons, ones in which he produced ERAs of 3.32, 3.36 and 3.20 in 32 starts each year. Make Tampa Bay a 10* play.