3-Game MLB SWEEPER PASS
(MLB) Chi White Sox vs. Cleveland,
Money Line: -195.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The White Sox lost 7-3 Friday night in Cleveland but rebounded to win 5-3 last night, pounding out 14 hits. The victory still leaves Chicago in last place in the AL Central, seven games back of the Brewers at 26-34. The Indians, last year's AL champs, fell to 30-29 with the loss and sit in second place, 2 1/2 games back of Milwaukee. The rubber match of the three-game series goes Sunday afternoon and the White Sox last won a road series back in mid-May, when they took three of four in Seattle.

The pitching matchup: Jose Quintana (2-7 & 5.30 ERA) goes for Chicago and Carlos Carrasco (5-3 & 3.36 ERA) for Cleveland. It's been struggle this year for Quintana with just two wins in his 12 starts (White Sox are 5-7). He gave up just one run on four hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings last time out but settled for a no-decision at Tampa Bay. However, that was a major improvement from his previous two starts, when he allowed 15 runs on 18 hits over just seven total innings (19.29 ERA!). Quintana is 7-4 with a 2.63 ERA in 20 career games (18 starts / White Sox are 8-10) against Cleveland. Carrasco has allowed at least four runs in three of his last four starts but the Indians have won three of the four and are 8-3 in his 11 starts in 2017. He has dominated the White Sox in two outings earlier this season, yielding just one run and seven hits with 15 strikeouts over 15 innings. Lifetime, Carrasco is 4-9 with a 4.89 ERA in 19 career appearances versus Chicago (18 starts / Indians are 7-11).

The pick: Quintana's struggles are real in 2017, as in his previous five seasons (all with Chicago), his ERA has ranged from a high of 3.76 (in his first season of 2012) to a low of 3.20 (last year). However, it sits at 5.30 in 2017, basically TWO runs higher than that five-year average. The White Sox are a poor 14-23 on the road and as noted, Carrasco has dominated Chicago in two previous starts this season. The Indians dominated the AL Central ins 2016, going 49-26 against division rivals. That hasn't been the case so far this year (Indians are only 14-15) but I expect that to change. Why not start here? Make the Indians a 6* play.