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(MLB) Baltimore vs. Milwaukee,
Total: 10.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
The set-up: The 40-41 Orioles begin a four-game, home-and-home IL series with the Brewers, having won five of their past eight. Baltimore beat the Tampa Bay Rays 7-1 on Sunday to salvage the finale of a three-game series. Once upon a time, Baltimore was 22-10 and leading the AL East but prior to winning five of its last eight, Baltimore had lost 28 of its previous 41 games. Currently, the Orioles are 6 1/2 games back of the first-place Red Sox. The 44-40 Brewers remain in first place in the NL Central but their lead was cut to two games over the Cubs after Sunday's 10-3 loss to the Marlins.

The pitching matchup: Wade Miley (3-6 & 4.54 ERA) gets the nod for the Orioles and with Chase Anderson going on the 10-day DL last week, the Brewers will give a spot start to lefty Brent Suter (0-1 & 4.20 ERA). Miley continues to struggle, as he has failed to get through six innings in five consecutive starts, allowing 22 ERs in 20 2/3 frames during the slump (he's 1-3 with a 9.58 ERA and the team is 1-4). He owns a 5.17 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers but somehow is 3-1 (team is 4-1). Go figure? With Chase Anderson going on the 10-day DL last week, Milwaukee will give a spot start to Brent Suter (0-1 & 4.20 ERA). Suter makes just his fourth career start and second of the 2017 season. His first was on June 13 at St. Louis, when he gave up three runs in 4 2/3 innings during a 6-0 loss. He has a 3.48 ERA in seven relief appearances in 2017, striking out 10 batters in 10 1/3 innings. Suter was 3-1 with a 4.42 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) for Triple-A Colorado Springs before his recall in late June.

The pick: Miley's struggled all season and comes in with an 8.83 ERA over his last four road outings, serving up six HRs in that span and issuing more walks (13) than strikeouts (10). He also owns an 8.38 ERA in two appearances at Miller Park. His counterpart is a pitcher making just his fourth career start and I expect the Baltimore lineup to be just fine against him. Make the Over a 10*.