The set-up: The Calgary Stampeders and Winnipeg Blue Bombers meet Friday in CFL action at Investors Group Field in Winnipeg. The Stampeders have opened the 2017 season with back-to-back games against Ottawa, winning 43-39 at home in Week 1 and then playing to a 31-31 tie in Week 2 at Ottawa. QB Bo Levi Mitchell is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 671 yards and is off to a great start with seven TD passes without an INT (he has 37 TD passes over his last 19 games). However, Calgary's defense is not off to a good start, allowing 35 points and 461 yards per game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers didn't play in Week 1 but were able to outlast the Saskatchewan Roughriders 43-40 in double overtime last week on the road. QB Matt Nichols is off to a strong start, completing 63.9 percent of his passes last week for 331 yards with four TDs and just one interception.

The pick: Calgary was the CFL's best team during the 2016 regular season, going 15-2-1 (13-5 ATS), while leading the CFL in scoring (32.6 PPG) and also allowing the fewest points (20.5 PPG). However, Calgary lost the Grey Cup final in OT to Ottawa, the same team it has played the first two weeks of the 2017 season. Calgary had little trouble scoring against Winnipeg in winning both meetings last season (scored 36 and 33 points) and in fact, has won the last six games against the Blue Bombers. Winnipeg hasn't beaten Calgary since November of 2014. It's hard to argue against Calgary not being the CFL's best team but Calgary has struggled in its first two games of 2017 (1-0-1 and could easily be 0-2) and that means I expect a big effort from them here, against a team it has handled with ease recently. The Stampeders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the Blue Bombers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Make Calgary a 10* play.