The set up: The Blue Jays rallied to beat the Orioles last night, 3-2, scoring two runs in the bottom of the ninth. That makes it two straight for the home team in this series as they also won Monday, again by one run (4-3). At this time last week, Baltimore considered itself a Wild Card contender, but even the biggest optimist on the Birds would have to re-consider that position as the team has now dropped six in a row to fall three games below .500 and 4.5 back of the Twins for the final Wild Card. Toronto, who is out of playoff contention, has won its last four games.

The pitching matchup: It will be Marcus Stroman going today for the Jays. While it's not reflected at the betting window, Stroman is his team's best starter. He easily leads the rotation in both ERA and WHIP, plus his 17 wins are three more than every other starter. While he hasn't won in almost a month, Stroman has had Baltimore's number this year, not giving up an earned run to them in two starts. The Orioles go with Kevin Gausman here. He wasn't good in his last start (gave up five runs in three innings) and has a 4.99 ERA and 1.587 WHIP for the season.

The pick: Not only has Baltimore struggled of late, they're just a bad road team. A 26-44 record away from Camden Yards does little to inspire any confidence that they'll avoid the sweep tonight. Nor does the fact they've been outscored 28-10 during the six-game losing streak. This team won't beat you with its pitching and seeing as Stroman should shut down a lineup that's hitting a collective .193 its last seven contests, the Blue Jays should win rather handily. Make Toronto an 8*