Rogers' *10* TOP THURSDAY TOTAL >> 19-8 YTD w/ Football Totals!
(NFL) Kansas City vs. Oakland,
Total: 47.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Chiefs welcomed the Steelers to Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday as the NFL's lone unbeaten team at 5-0 (also 5-0 ATS). Kansas City entered last week's game averaging nearly 33 points through its first five victories but its offense was bottled up (held to 13 points on 251 yards) while its 27th-ranked run defense (130.7 YPG) was stampeded for 194 yards.The Raiders were a 'sexy' pick to strongly compete for the AFC title in 2017 and after opening with a 26-16 win at Tennessee and then routing the Jets 45-10 at home, expectations were "off the chart." However, as the Raiders get set to host one of their most-hated rivals (from the days of the original AFL), Oakland will be trying to snap a four-game losing streak.

Kansas City: QB Alex Smith did not have his best game of 2017 in KC's 19-13 loss to the Steelers but he does enter this contest having completed 72.9 percent of his passes
with 12 TDs and zero INTs (in 192 attempts), earning a 119.2 QB rating. Rookie RB Kareem Hunt (630 YR on 5.9 YPC) ran for a season-low 21 yards (on nine attempts) vs. Pittsburgh but had five receptions for 89 yards to become the first rookie in league history to amass at least 100 scrimmage yards in each of his team's first six games. Multi-threat receiver Tyreek Hill (30 catches) injured his neck in Sunday's game and it was feared he might have a concussion but the team pronounced him good to go. TE Kelce leads with 33 receptions plus Hunt has 21 catches. KC's defense has allowed 378.2 YPG (29th) but has fared much better in the most-important defensive stat, points allowed (21.7 PPG, which ranks 13th).

Oakland: QB Derek Carr got off to a great start but a fractured bone in his back has slowed him. He returned to the lineup after missing one game last Sunday but he had another mediocre game in the Raiders' 17-16 home loss to the Rams (171 YP / one TD / 2 INTs / 67.5 QB rating) and now has four interceptions in his past three contests, after tossing only six picks in the entire 2016 season.
The vertical passing game has been a staple in Oakland since the franchise's inception but deep threat Amari Cooper has just 18 catches while averaging only 8.1 YPC on the season. RB Marshawn Lynch was expected to be a huge boost to the running game but his 63 yards week represented a season-high. Lynch has just 257 YR on 3.7 YPC, with Oakland ranking 24th in rushing yards at 93.7 YPG. Oakland's defense is allowing 349.8 YPG (23rd) but a more modest 21.0 YPG (12th), although only three teams in the NFL have fewer than the Raiders' 11 sacks!

The pick: The Chiefs travel to Oakland Thursday night, looking to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time since October of 2015. What's more, the Chiefs have won nine straight road games. The Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Oakland. That said, I think we'll get an "all-out" effort from the Raiders in this one. However, in the team's four-game skid, Oakland has scored 10, 10, 17 and 16 points (that's just 13.3 PPG). That brings in this stat..."the under" is 18-6 in the last 24 meeting between these hated rivals. Make the under a 10* play in this one.