The Orioles lost a rare home series vs the Rangers, so will be all in today to bounce back against the 4-6 Guardians. The Orioles are a fine hitting team, facing the worst in the league at runs scored/9. True to form, the Guardians are batting just .212 against right handers over their last 10 games. Cleveland's young left-hander Logan Allen (3.31 ERA) has impressed this year, but he has also been a bit lucky. His hit totals are much higher than they should be, and he has seen his WHIP climb from 1.09 in April to 1.62 in May. Orioles righty Wells struggled against the Yankees last time out. He is very successful at limiting hits, but has been a victim of the long ball. The Guardians trail all teams by a wide margin in home runs this season. Wells has been much better at home this year.

There is nothing wrong with the Guardians' pitching but you have to score runs to win games. Given the hits totals that Allen has given up lately, I expect the O's to take advantage and put up some runs. Take Baltimore, 16-10 at home, to win Game one of the series.