Rogers' Sunday Night SHOWDOWN (Total) >>27-13 YTD w/ Football Totals!
(NFL) New England vs. Denver,
Total: 44.00 | -105.00 Under
Result: Win
The set-up: The New England Patriots opened the current season 2-2 and some were questioning whether the team's long stretch of dominance was nearing an end. However, the Pats come off a bye week having won four in a row (3-1 ATS) to assume their typical spot atop the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Denver Bronocs opened 3-1 before taking an early bye (Week 5). No reason to blame that bye week but the fact is, the Broncos returned to lose at home in Week 6 to the then win-less Giants, with things going from bad to worse, since. Denver welcomes New England to Mile High on the Sunday night on a four-game slide (0-4 ATS), having hit rock bottom in last Sunday's 51-23 loss at Philadelphia. Wentz threw four TD passes and the Philly running attack gashed the Broncos for 199 yards on the ground.

New England: Brady continues to maze, entering this contest completing 66.7 percent of his passes with 16 TDs and just two INTs for a 106.5 QB rating (Pats are No. 1 in the NFL, averaging 302.1 YPG passing). New England's running game remains average (109.0 YPG ranks 16th) but along with Brady's excellence, the key to the team's four-game winning streak has been a return to playing defense as the team has done in the past. New England allowed 32.0 PPG in its 2-2 start but in its four-game winnings streak, the Pats are allowing only 12.8 PPG!

Denver: The Broncos head into Sunday night's game against the Patriots having switched QBs (Osweiler's in for Siemian), an OL struggling with injuries, a running game showing little consistently and the result has been the team has averaged 13.0 PPG during its four-game losing streak. "Definitely sick and tired of losing," Broncos running back C.J. Anderson said. "There's a sense of urgency. We know what time it is. We have a chance to do something really special that only us in that locker room believe we can do. That's where it starts. If everyone can change their minds ... to believe that we can do it, we can definitely make it happen." Brock Osweiler threw for 208 yards with one TD and two interceptions on 19 of 38 passing in his first start of 2017 at Philly. The blowout loss was hardly his fault, as the Denver running game produced just 35 yards on 19 carries. as for Denver's once-proud defense, it was ripped for 419 yards and of course, those 5 1 points!

The pick: These two teams have played each other pretty tight, splitting the last six games with three wins apiece. One has to expect Denver, especially here at home, to bring its "A game" off that Philly embarrassment. The problem is, the Pats are 3-0 on the road in 2017, extending their road winning streak to 11-0! Then again, Sports Authority/Invesco Field has been a house of horrors in the past for Tom Brady, who is 0-3 SU & ATS in playoff games at Denver. However, those past problems at Mile High came vs. very good Broncos teams, which doesn't seem to apply here in 2017. Expect Denver to "give its all" in this one but not to contain Brady and the Pats "O." Make the Over an 8* play.