The set-up: The 13-4-1 Calgary Stampeders ended the regular season on a three-game losing streak but their 28-25 home win on Nov. 19 over Edmonton has the Stampeders on track for their eighth Grey Cup in franchise history and fourth since the 2001 season when they visit the Toronto Argonauts at TD Place Stadium on Sunday in the CFL's 105th Grey Cup Final. Toronto was just 9-9 in the regular season but its 25-21 home win (also on Nov. 19) was enough to lift them into this game, giving the Argonauts a chance at their 17th Grey Cup in franchise history and third since the 2004 season.

Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 4,700 yards, 23 touchdowns and 11 interceptions but it's Calgary's top-ranked defense which has gotten them this far. The Stampeders ranks first in the CFL in points allowed (19.4) and yards allowed (339.8).did not cover. Meanwhile,

Toronto: QB Ricky Ray is completing 71.0 percent of his passes for 5,546 yards, 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Toronto is averaging 411.1 YPG (2nd) but has underachieved somewhat, as it's scoring 26.8 PPG, which ranks 6th. Defensively, Toronto allows 350.7 YPG (2nd-best next to Calgary) but the Argonauts are allowing 25.3 PPG (4th), about a TD higher than Calgary.

The pick: Calgary has won the last eight meetings against Toronto with its last loss coming in September of 2013. The Stampeders outscored the Argonauts 64-31 in two wins this year but the Stampeders aren't the same team,as the team seemed to "stop playing" in November. Calgary did edge Edmonton to reach this game but it marked the fifth straight game in which the team did not cover. Meanwhile, the Argonauts have covered six of their last eight games. The over is 6-2 in Argonauts' last eight games and the over is 4-0 in the Stampeders last four playoff games. Two good defensive teams (but with two excellent QBs, as well) are going to play an OVER in this one. Make it a 10*.