The 3-7 Mariners have pitching woes. In their last 10 games both starters and relievers have averaged over 6.00 ERA. Their rookie Miller started his rookie season on a record pace, only to fall completely flat 2 starts ago, allowing 15 runs in 7 innings in his last 2 starts. In picking the M's as a favorite, the odds-makers are clearly expecting a better start from Miller. I disagree. The Marlins will run out Luzardo on Monday. Mostly up and only occasionally off, he has allowed just a single run in 4 of 6 of his last appearances. He has a massive 86 strikeouts to date, and the Mariners strike out a ton.

The Marlins have been very good at limiting runs of late, allowing 1 or less in 6 of 10 games. They are also hitting better than usual, creeping up to 11th in OPS in their last 15 games. Miami isn't know as a strong road team , but most other aspects, I believe they have the advantage at the moment. Take the road underdog to win for Monday.