The set up: One of these teams started off the season poorly, while the other looked unstoppable. However, the tables have turned after the first month and I think the home side will build off its convincing blowout from last night.

The pitching match-up: Arizona goes with Patrick Corbin, who is 5-2 with a 2.99 ERA thus far. Like his team, Corbin got off to an unreal start to the 2018 campaign, one which now looks completely unsustainable. Corbin most recently was shelled for six runs off five hits over six innings to the Reds on Wednesday.

San Francisco welcomes back Madison Bumgarner, who returns from the 60-day DL to make his first start of 2018. Bumgarner looked great in his final tune-up, going 3.2 shutout innings, while posting eight strikeouts in the process. Bumgarner was 4-9 with a 3.32 ERA during his injury riddled 2017 campaign, posting a very respectable 3.40 ERA at home and an even better 2.81 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: After last night's loss, Arizona is now just 12-15 (-1.5 units) on the road this season. And after last night's win, San Francisco is now 18-10 (+6.6 units) at home. I think Bumgarner and the surging Giants are the correct call in this matchup.