The set-up: The Phoenix Mercury have won four straight, but I think they come out complacent here, giving the advantage to the Las Vegas Aces. Las Vegas won't be lacking motivation today as it sits at 1-6, while the Mercury come in at 6-3.

The teams: The Aces most recently lost 87-83 at home to Atlanta. A'ja Wilson was a bright spot with 20 points and nine boards. Las Vegas coach Bill Laimbeer though will be eager to get off on the "right foot" here, as this marks the opener of a four-game, six-day road trip for his team: "We're trying to find a cohesive situation," Laimbeer said yesterday. "I'm pushing any button I can to get five players (to play together.)"

The Mercury most recently hammered the Chicago Sky 96-79 on Friday, with all five starters scoring in double figures, led by center Brittney Griner with 24 points.

The pick: Las Vegas though is 5-2 ATS in its last seven after three or more SU/ATS losses, while Phoenix is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after four or more SU victories. I think that Phoenix does indeed get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight and while I'll stop short in call for the upset, this has one definitely has "nail biter" written all over it in my opinion. Play on the Aces.