The set-up: It's the opener of a three-game set between these National League foes and in my opinion, the home field advantage will prove to be the difference in the end. The Cubs go with Jose Quintana, while the Brewers hand the ball to Junior Guerra.

The pitchers: Quintana is so far 6-4 with a 4.20 ERA. Most recently Quintana gave up two runs off three hits and two walks over 5.2 innings in a somewhat unfortunate no-decision against the Phillies on Wednesday. Quintana though has been consistently inconsistent all year and I think he'll struggle to match pace with his counterpart this evening.

Guerra is 3-4 with a 2.83 ERA. Guerra most recently allowed three runs off seven hits with one walk and five strikeouts over six innings in a loss to Cleveland on Tuesday. Despite the unfortunate setback, Guerra has still posted an awesome 15:1 K/W over his last three starts and note that he's consistently been at his best at home this year with a 3.03 ERA thus far.

The pick: The Cubs stumbled at home to the Pirates yesterday and things definitely don't get any easier facing the Brewers, who just took two of three from the Phillies. I think Guerra and Milwaukee are the correct all in this matchup.