The set-up: Two pitchers which had little expectations heading into the season, but who have been "better than advertised" collide on Tuesday and in my opinion, everything points to a bit of a "duel." The visitors go with Jeremy Hellickson, while the home side goes with Joe Musgrove.

The pitchers: Hellickson is so far 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA. Hellickson comes in off an outing to forget though, giving up nine runs over 4.0 innings in a no-decision to Miami on Thursday. It should be noted though that it was reported just before his start that he was dealing with an illness, but that he'd still be able to take the mound. Clearly Hellickson was effected though. Note that he's 2-1 with a 3.13 ERA on the road this year.

Musgrove is so far 3-3 with a 3.79 ERA. Musgrove returns from the ten-day DL after throwing a bullpen session on Sunday. In his previous start he'd go seven scoreless against the Friars on June 29th. Note that Musgrove is 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA in all "night" games.

The pick: Not only has Washington already seen the total go "under" the number in nine of 13 road games this season when the total in the contest is between 9 and 9.5, but it's also seen it go "under" in 21 of its last 36 against clubs with losing records. And therefore it's definitely worthy to note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in all six home games that it's played this year when the total is either 9 or 9.5. This number is a little high, play the "under."