The set-up: Miami was in Atlanta on Wednesday night, while Philadelphia had the night off. This series features a number of rather poor match-ups on the mound and this is one of them in my opinion. For a number of different reasons though, I think this one favors the home side. The visitors go with Trevor Richards, while the Phillies go with Nick Pivetta.

The pitchers: Richards is so far 3-5 with a 4.06 ERA. He most recently allowed three hits with two walks while striking out eight over six scoreless against the Nationals on Saturday. The rookie has looked a lot better of late after a shaky start to his MLB career, but note that he's still just 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA on the road this year.

Pivetta is so far 6-9 with a 4.85 ERA. He most recently gave up five runs off six hits with 12 strikeouts over six innings in a loss to the Reds on Friday. Over 107.2 innings Pivetta owns the pedestrian ERA, but his 1.33 WHIP and 134 strikeouts remain respectable.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Miami is 0-11 (-11 units) this year on all "Thursday" games and just 35-44 against right-handed starters, while Philadelphia is 45-37 (+7.3 units) against right-handed starters. No upsets here. Lay the price, play on the Phillies.