The set-up: This series features a couple of interesting match-ups on the mound and this is definitely one of them in my opinion. That said however, for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side. The Phillies go with Nick Pivetta, while the Diamondbacks go with Zack Greinke.

The pitchers: Pivetta is so far 6-9 with a 4.75 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs off four hits with zero walks over six innings in a no-decision to the light-hitting Marlins on Thursday. Pivetta though has been terrible on the road this season by going 2-4 with a 5.63 ERA.

Greinke is so far 12-6 with a 2.96 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs off four hits with one walk while striking out five over six innings in an unfortunate loss to San Francisco on Thursday. Greinke though is putting together a great overall 2018 campaign, coming into this one sporting the sharp ERA, a strong 1.04 WHIP and 148 strikeouts to this point.

The pick: And note that Greinke has been tough on the opposition at home this year with the 5-2, 2.44 ERA record to this point. No upset here as I like Greinke to come in focused on the task at hand. Lay the price.