The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups on the mound and this is definitely one of them in my opinion. For a number of different reasons though, I think this one favors the home side. The Rockies send Kyle Freeland to the hill, while the home side goes with Sean Newcomb.

The pitchers: Freeland is so far 10-7 with a 3.02 ERA. He most recently gave up two runs with two walks over seven innings in a no-decision to the Dodgers on Saturday. Note that he's 3-5 with a 4.01 ERA on the road.

Newcomb is so far 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA. He most recently allowed one run off five hits over six innings in a no-decision to the Nationals on Tuesday. Newcomb comes in on top form, giving up just three runs and ten hits over his last three starts combined (striking out 19 in the process).

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Colorado is just 2-7 in its last nine as a road dog in the +125 to +200 range. I'm banking on Newcomb getting the better of Freeland in friendly confines. Lay the price.