The set-up: This series features a couple of competitive match-ups on the mound and this is one of them. For a number of different reasons I think runs will be at a premium in this game. The visitors hand the ball to Nate Eovaldi, while the home side goes with Touki Toussaint.

The pitchers: Eovaldi is so far 5-7 with a 4.35 ERA. After an unreal start for the Red Sox, Eovaldi predictably came crashing back down to Earth shortly after. Eovaldi hasn't forgotten how to pitch though and note that he's been at his best in all "day" games by posting a 4-1, 1.95 ERA record.

Toussaint is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA. In his first outing for the Braves he'd impress everyone by giving up one run over six innings in a victory over Miami. Clearly the Red Sox present an entirely different challenge, but the rookie showed enough to impress me to make me think he'll be able to last into the latter frames again here.

The pick: I think there's a ton of value on the "under" as I expect these hungry starting pitchers to fight into the latter frames. This number is just a little high, play the "under."