Both probable pitchers have run hot and cold lately. But Davies of the D-backs just pitched 7 shutout innings, while Senga has only allowed 2 runs in each of his last two starts.

Both teams have been middle of the pack in hitting over the last 15 days. But in terms of runs neither have produced much. In their last 7 games the Mets have averaged 4.0 runs/9 for and the D-backs have averaged 3.9 runs/9 for. Both those are under the expected line of 9. On top of that the Mets have only allowed 3.1 runs/9 against while the D-backs have only allowed 3.3 runs/9 against. All of these numbers add up to a low scoring affair.

In Senga’s last 5 starts on grass the under is 5-0 and his last 4 on the road have the unders at 4-0. The D-backs are under in all 5 of their last 5 games and they have the unders at 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. It should all go together to get you under the wire with a safe play on the under.