The set-up: UCLA is horrible, it's 0-3 for the first time since 1971 following last week's 38-14 home loss to Fresno State last Saturday. The team suffered more bad new with backup QB Devon Modster announced this week that he's transferring. Colorado looks to deliver the knock out blow at home and improve to 4-0.

The teams: UCLA has given up more than 400 yards of offense in every game this year, while averaging just 320. 13 of the team's 41 Blue Chip recruits have left the team after Jim Mora was replaced by Jim Kelly at coach.

Buffalo QB Steven Montez has 855 passing yards, eight TD's and two picks so far this season. Last week the Buffs had 311 yards of rushing in a 45-14 destruction of New Hampshire.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last seven following a SU win of mor ethan 20 points, while UCLA is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 conference game sand just 2-6 ATS in its last eight on the road. I don't think the Bruins respond here at all. In fact, I as mentioned off the top, I look for the Buffs to kick this team while it's down. Lay the points.