The set-up: Toledo enters off a 38-15 road loss to Illinois last Wednesday, while Kent State comes in off a 48-14 loss to Buffalo on the road last Tuesday. Toledo has won three in a row in the series, including a 38-7 victory at home last year. Toledo is averaging 38.6 PPG and it's allowing 31.5. QB Mitchel Guadagni has 1,053 passing yards and 13 TD's, while also adding 423 on he ground and another four TD's. Kent Tate is averaging 23.3 points and it's allowing 35.6. QB Woody Barrett has 1,932 passing yards with ten TD's and eight INT's with another 422 rushing yards and six TD's on the ground.

The play: Note that Toledo has seen the total go "over" the number in two of its last three as a favorite, while Kent State has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 14 at home. Both teams hungry for a win. This number is a low, play the "over."