The set-up: After an unreal start the Nuggets come into this one desperate for a win after four straight losses. Denver's lost its offense of late, but a date vs. the defense-less Hawks is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track in my opinion. And with a tough road trip starting in New Orleans on Saturday, the home side will definitely be pushing the pace from start to finish to try and take advantage of the Hawks "vanilla" offense. Clearly Atlanta won't go down without a fight after five straight losses and with another tough upcoming game in Atlanta.

The pick: The conditions are definitely right for a higher-scoring shootout tonight. But note as well that Denver has seen the total go "over" in seven of its last nine home games following a four games or more unbeaten streak. This number is low, play the "over."