The set-up: This is a big game for both teams, as the winner will go on to lay in the Big Ten Title game next weekend. The Wolverines enter off a 31-20 home win over Indiana, while Ohio State surveyed a 52-51 OT win in Maryland. Michigan has lost six straight in this series, but the Wolverines' dominating defense this year is going to be the difference in my opinion. Michigan allows only 13.5 PPG, while averaging 26.6. Ohio State is averaging 41.6 PPG and allowing 24.6.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Ohio State is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven after scoring more than 40 in its previous game, while Michigan is 18-7-1 ATS in its last 26 following an ATS loss. I look for the Wolverines to finally get the monkey off their back. Lay the points.