The set-up: UCLA looks primed for a letdown here after it beat rival USC last weekend. Stanford smashed Oregon State last Saturday to become eligible, but I look for the Cardinal to keep the foot on the gas to end the the regular season. Stanford QB KJ Costello has thrown for over 300 yards in four of his last five games. Last week he had 342 passing yards and four TD's. Defensively the Cardinal looked good as well, holding the Beavers to just 17 points. UCLA got a huge game from RB Joshua Kelley last week with 289 rushing yards and two TD's, but QB Wilton Speight looked pretty ordinary, finishing with 166 passing yards and 1:1 TD:INT.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but UCLA is 2-6 ATS in its last eight at home while Stanford is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 vs. teams with losing records. I don't think Kelley will rush for nearly 300 yards again this week and because of that, I look for the Bruins to suffer another letdown. Lay the points.