The set-up: These teams aren't known for their defensive prowess, but I believe the conditions are right for more of a lower-scoring defensive battle this evening. The Sens enter off a 4-2 road loss to the Rangers, while the Flyers come in off a humbling 6-0 loss at Toronto. Clearly neither side can be happy with its performance of late. Note that Ottawa plays with the added incentive of "revenge" as well after the Flyers took the first meeting of the year on the road earlier. As mentioned off the top, I understand that these teams are both horrible on the defensive end, but from an overall situational stand point, I believe each doubles down on that side of the ice after their recent blowout losses.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Ottawa has seen the total go "under" the number in five to its last seven road games after giving up four or more goals in a road loss in its previous outing, while Philly has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last nine home games after giving up five or more goals and getting shutout in its previous outing. This number is high, play the "under."