The set-up: These two teams are very familiar with each other. Last year Boise State won this exact game vs. this exact opponent 17-14 and I believe we'll see a much bigger final discrepancy this time around. Fresno State comes in at 10-2 after last week's 31-13 win over San Jon Jose State. Fresno State averages 36.3 PPG and it allows 13.5. Boise State comes in on top form, having won seven straight, most recently a 33-24 win over No. 21 ranked Utah State last weekend to advance to the Championship game. Overall the Broncos are averaging 37 PPG and allowing 22.3.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boise State is already 4-2 ATS at home this year. These teams actually played at Albertsons Stadium earlier this season and the Broncos came out on top 24-17. This is a horrible match-up for Fresno State and I think that trend continues. Grab the points.

10* play