The set-up: Pittsburgh is a terrible 12-16, while the Isles are slightly better 14-14, but I still think this one favors the underachieving visitors. The Pens are the "hungrier" side here off a 2-1 OT loss at Ottawa, while the Isles are poised for a letdown after their 3-2 road win in Detroit. So far Pittsburgh is averaging 3.43 GPG and allowing 3.18, while the Isles are averaging 2.89 GPG and allowing 2.89 as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles are just 2-4 in their last six home games following a road victory in which they allowed two goals or less in, while Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 in its last seven after allowing two goals or less in its previous outing. Lay the price.

10*