The set-up: Toronto is 20-10, while Carolina is 13-15. The Leafs will be eager to return to form here after a 6-3 home loss to Boston. Carolina on the other hand looks primed for a predictable letdown here in my opinion after its 4-1 road in Anaheim in its most recent action. Toronto plays with revenge here as well after falling 5-2 in the first meeting this year. The Leafs average 3.63 GPG and they allow 2.80. Carolina averages only 2.50 GPG, while allowing 2.71.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Carolina is just 2-5 in its last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Toronto is 37-17 in its last 54 vs. teams with losing records. Great price on the Leafs.

8* play