The set-up: Morehead State is just 3-6, while Samford is 8-2. The Eagles will be desperate to reverse their fortunes tonight after losing six of their last eight, most recently a 76-64 setback at Marshall on Monday. Jordan Walker was a bright spot in the set-back with 21 points and four boards. The Eagles may find it difficult to post much offensive production against the surging Bulldogs though, who come in off a convincing 77-59 win of Alabama A&M, led by 11 points and eight boards from Robert Allen.

The pick: Samford's early numbers could be skewed by the level of its competition and there's no doubt that it'll face a much stiffer test tonight vs. a a focused and hungry Eagles team. I think from a situational stand point this one definitely sets up as a defensive battle, but note as well that Morehead State has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 when the total in the contest is set between 150 and 159.5, while Samford has seen the total go "under" in four of five as a favorite already this season. Consider the "under."