The set-up: This one is simple for me, it comes down to motivation. The Hawks missed the playoffs last year, but with a win today they'll punch their ticket back to the promised land. Seattle comes in on top form with four straight wins. Seattle's defense is back in top form as evidenced by last Monday's 21-7 home win over the Vikes, holding Minnesota to just 276 total yards. The 49ers look poised for a letdown here after their upset 20-14 win over the Broncos last weekend.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but San Fran is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games as an underdog in the 3.5 to ten points range, while Seattle is a solid 3-1-1 ATS in its last five as a road favorite. For all the reasons listed above, lay the points.

8* play