The set-up: I don't think that that home ice advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this matchup. The Ducks have been red hot, but after winning three straight and ten of 12, including a 2-1 OT win over Columbus last time out, I think they'll finally have a letdown here in this difficult road venue. The Pens have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they come in off back-to-back victories, including a tough 4-3 OT home win over the Kings in their most recent.

The pick: The Ducks have had a hell of a time whenever they've come to Pittsburgh of late, going just 2-8 in their last ten in the Steel City. Pittsburgh is 4-0 in its last four at home and 17-5 in its last 22 vs. the Western Conference. This one has home side blowout written all over it. Lay the price.

10* play