The set-up: I don't think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular match-up. The Isles enter off a 4-2 loss in Vegas, while Dallas fell to the lowly Blackhawks in their last game. Dallas though posted a 6-2 road win over the Isles in New York last month and I look for it to post a similar beatdown here as well. This is the end of a tough Western swing for the Isles and I think they'll come out flat. Overall New York averages 2.8 GPG and it allows 2.8 GPG as well. Dallas is 11-4-1 at home and it averages 2.7 GPG, while allowing 2.8.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is 5-1 in its last six at home, while New York is just 1-4 in its last five when playing on two days rest. I like Dallas to bounce back on home ice. Lay the price.

10* play