The set-up: In what is expected to be a very low-scoring defensive battle, I like the Horned Frogs to pull away down the stretch for the victory. TCU was 3-5, but it closed the season strong by winning three of its final four, including a 31-24 home win over OK State in its regular season finale to make it to 6-6. I think the Frogs carry that momentum over here. Cal on the other hand maybe peaked too early, as it had won four of five before a loss to Stanford in its finale (a disastrous 10-6 setback.) Cal averages 22.8 PPG and it allows 21.2. TCU average 24.7 PPG and it allows 24.4.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Cal is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral site games, while TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a win in which it scored 30 points or more and following a two weeks or more break. Play on the Horned Frogs.

10* play