The set-up: Atlanta has been playing well of late, most recently it defeated the Hawks 111-108 on Saturday. Indiana enters off a very satisfying 125-88 home win over the Pistons and I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today. This is a big time revenge game as well, as Indiana has taken seven straight in the series, including both this year and last week's 129-121 Boxing Day victory. But Atlanta is now playing its best ball of the year, having won five of its last six. Indiana has won four straight, but note that it's still a terrible 6-9 ATS in its last 15 off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is already 9-5 ATS this season as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range and 7-5 ATS this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Grab all those points!

10* play