The set-up: The Pacers will be eager to return to form here after a 121-105 road loss to the Raptors on Sunday. The Cavs enter off another loss, a 133-98 setback at home to the Pelicans on Saturday. These teams though have split two games this year, with the Cavs earning the 92-91 road victory in the latest on December 18th. I think a similar hard-fought, lower-scoring battle is in store here as well. Previous to their latest loss the Pacers had won six straight. Overall Indiana averages just 107.7 PPG, which ranks 23rd, but the Pacers make up for it on the other end, allowing just 101.9 PPG. And that's bad news for the offensively challenged Cavaliers, who are averaging 102 PPG, while allowing 111.4.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Indiana has already seen the total go "under" the number in seven of eight this year after playing two consecutive road games, while Cleveland has seen the total go "under" in four of five already this season when playing with two days rest. This number is high, play the "under."

10* play