The set-up: Boston comes to town off a 4-2 loss at Washington. The setback broke a five-game win streak and I think the Bruins are poised for another letdown here as well. Boston is just 9-13 on the road, averaging 2.23 goals and allowing 2.77 in those contests. Toronto got back on track with a 4-2 road win at New Jersey. The Leafs are 28-15 overall this season, including 13-9 at home, averaging 3.27 goals and allowing 2.55 in those games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Boston is already just 1-3 (-2.7 units) this year after playing three straight home games, while Toronto is 13-3 (+9.8 units) this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. Lay it.

8*