The set-up: No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as each comes in off a game on Saturday. The Hornets played and beat the Suns at home, while the Pacers played the Mavericks at home. Indiana plays with revenge here today as well after falling 127-109 in Charlotte back on November 21st. The Hornets average 112.1 PPG and they allow 111.4. The Pacers average 108.7 PPG and they allow just 103.4. That's first in the NBA (note that the "under" is 15-6 for the Pacers this season when they play at home.)

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Charlotte has seen the total go "under" the number in three of four vs. good offensive teams which score 106-plus points per contest, while Indiana has seen the total go "under" in 13 of 18 as a home favorite this season and in three of four in revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points in. This number is a little high, play the "under."

10* play