The set-up: After its 68-59 road win over Cal on Thursday, I think Colorado will stumble in this difficult road venue. The Cardinal are looking to rebound as well after their 70-66 home loss to Utah on Thursday. To say this is a "revenge" game as well for Stanford would be a bit of an understatement, as Colorado has won nine straight in the series. But the Buffs had dropped two in a row and four of five before their latest victory and I believe an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. The Buffs average 76.2 PPG and they allow 69. The Cardinal won't be taking anything for granted here as they've lost five of their last seven. Overall Stanford averages 72.5 PPG and it allows 73.4.

The pick: But note that Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a favorite and 6-2 ATS in its last eight after a loss by six points or less. Colorado on the other hand is just 8-23 ATS in its last 31 on the road. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the short points on the hungry and revenge minded home side.

8* play