Probable pitchers Abbott for the Reds and Burnes for the Brewers have been on fire lately. Abbott’s last 5 outings have averaged 6.1 innings pitched and an ERA of 2.00. Burnes has been even better with a 1.60 ERA in his last 5 starts, also averaging 6.1 innings. In July his WHIP is a miniscule 0.63.

In the last 15 days, both teams have been in the bottom fifth of the majors in batting average and OPS. The Brewers have especially struggled against LHP.

Starting to look a pretty strong case is being made for an under total. In their last 8 games over/unders have been 1-7 for the Brewers and 2-6 for the Reds. Head to head, in their last 10, over/unders have been 3-7 and in their last 5 they have been 0-5. The recipe for an under looks like it is coming together just fine.