The set-up: Toronto goaltender Frederik Anderson is 12-4-1 on the road with a 2.79 GAA this year. He's also 7-0-0 in his last seven vs. the Wings, posting a 2.50 GAA and .920 save percentage. Leafs' forward Jon Tavares has two goals and five assists in three wins over the Wings this year, while Auston Matthews has six goals and five assists during a seven-game point streak vs. Detroit. Wings' net minder Jimmy Howard is 9-8-4 with a 2.63 GAA at home, but he'd let up four goals to the Leafs on 34 shots in a loss back on October 11th.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Detroit is just 1-8 in its last nine after allowing two or fewer goals in its previous game, while Toronto is 13-5 in its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. No upset here as I look for Anderson to continue his red hot play away from friendly confines. Lay the price.

10* play