The set-up: I base my picks on many things. This one is based on "common sense." The Kings have been terrible this year and they've especially struggled on the road. After their upset 4-3 win in the Big Apple just last night, I believe an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here. The Devils most recently posted a 3-2 OT road win in Montreal. Note that despite last night's win as well, the Kings are still only averaging 1.84 goals on the road, while allowing 2.96. The Devils are 13-11 at home, averaging 3.33 goals and allowing 2.88 in those contests.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but New Jersey is 7-2 in its last nine vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400, while LA is still only 4-11 in its last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." Play on New Jersey.