The set-up: I think goals will be at a premium tonight between these two hungry clubs. New York comes to town off a 2-1 home win over Minnesota, while Buffalo is in bounce back mode after its 3-1 home loss to Winnipeg. Isles' net minder Robin Lehner is 2-3 with a 2.15 GAA lifetime vs. the Sabres. New York is 16-11 on the road, averaging only 2.74 goals in those games, but allowing only 2.44. Buffalo is 16-12 at home, averaging 3.07 goals and allowing 3.04 in those contests. Sabres' goalie Carter Hutton is so far 10-8 with a 2.48 GAA at home.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Isles have already seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten following a three-games unbeaten streak, while the Sabres have seen the total go "under" in five of seven after playing three consecutive home games. This number is high, play the "under."

8* play