The set-up: I think the 19-4 Belmont Bruins get caught looking past the lowly Tennessee State Tigers. The Bruins have won seven straight. Tennessee State though won't be lacking for motivation today after starting 8-16. But Tennessee State has looked better over the last month, as despite losing to Eastern Kentucky in a tight game last time out, it had won its three previous. I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing the Tennessee State improvement.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Belmont is still only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 80 or more points in a win over a conference rival, while Tennessee State is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog or pick. Grab all the points.

8* play