The set-up: Let's face it, it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for this total to "over" or "under" the number. Both teams possess some of the most dangerous offensive talent on the planet. But each side also sports some of the best goaltending in the league as well. These are two of the top teams in the East and Tampa just beat the Capitals 6-3 at home last week in a "barn burner." Suffice it to say, with the shift in venue, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair this time around.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Washington has seen the total go "under" the number in 11 of its last 14 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent in which it gave up six or more goals in and in which it lost by two or more goals in. This number is high, play the "under."

10* play