The set-up: Buffalo beat Arizona State 91-74, while Texas Tech demolished UNT 72-57 in the opening round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament. The Bulls are rolling, having won 13 straight, including the MAC Title game, but I think their high-powered offense (averages 85.1 PPG, while conceding 70.6) finally has a letdown here vs. this step up in competition, especially vs. the Red Raiders suffocating defense which allows just 59.2 PPG (averages 73.1).

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Buffalo is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine neutral court games after scoring 90 or more point in its previous game, while Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points, expect a blowout.

9* play