The set-up: The Yanks took the first two games of this series, 7-3 and 5-4, before the Mariners finally got off the schneid with 10-1 win on Wednesday. The Yanks though are still 15-6 in their last 21 games and I think they'll bounce back here in the finale. The visitors hand the ball to Mike Leake, while the home side counters with JA Happ.

The pitchers: Leake (2-3, 4.91 ERA) has been atrocious of late, going 0-3 with a 5.79 ERA over his past five starts. Note that in two career starts vs. New York he's 0-2 with a 5.54 ERA.

Happ (1-3, 4.93) has completely turned his season around after a horrible start, going 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA over his last four starts. He's 4-2 with a 5.06 ERA in seven career outings vs. Seattle.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Seattle is just 1-4 as a road dog in the +125 to +175 range this year, while the Yanks are 6-2 at home as a favorite in the same price range. All things considered a very fair price in y opinion.

NY Yankees

10* play